CO₂ as a planetary boundary metric

Atmospheric CO₂ concentration is the primary metric for the climate change Planetary boundaries indicator. The safe boundary is approximately 350 ppm (pre-industrial levels ~280 ppm); as of 2024, atmospheric CO₂ has exceeded 420 ppm — the highest in at least 3 million years.

“Earth for All” (Club of Rome, 2022) identifies the clean energy transition — stopping the addition of new CO₂ to the atmosphere — as one of its five Giant Leaps. The carbon budget for 1.5°C of warming was approximately 420 GtCO₂ remaining as of 2023; at current rates (~40 GtCO₂/year), this budget will be exhausted by ~2033.

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